It will probably be crushed like all the other protests, unfortunately. But iran is in a worse state then it's ever been. The catalyst for this round is a currency collapse and a looming water crisis. Sadly, the Revolutionary corps seem well funded from oil money.
At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered ambitions and ego.
Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing.
> Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china
Has this been confirmed?
> From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing
Iran's borders encompass a bit of a shitshow. Its dominant ethnicity is less than three fifths the population [1]. Its next three-largest ethnicities, Azeris (14%), Kurds (9%) and Gilaki (5%) meanwhile, have bordering extant or aspiring nation-states.
(To the extent there is a hilarious if bastardly alliance in the region, it would be between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel provides firepower. Azerbaijan gains the Azeri (and maybe Gilaki) majority north of Iran, cutting off Armenia's southern border and giving it a land border with Turkey for more pipelines.)
>helping the latter seize Iran's northern and Azeri/Gilaki-majority territories
Wont't ever happen because Aliev is the OG of multipolarity/mnogovektornost and this would prevent him from scamming all of his neighbors at the same time.
during war with Israel they made adjustment. Internal messaging switched to "ancient great iran" and "we are all iranians" (as in citizens of iran) or something like this.
> European intelligence sources say several shipments of sodium perchlorate, the main precursor in the production of the solid propellant that powers Iran’s mid-range conventional missiles, have arrived from China to the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas
i hope only the best for the people of iran because they seem to be completely fantastic people and iran is an absolutely majestically beautiful place. and, selfishly, i would love to be able to visit one day. ugh, the whole situation is just so sad.
I don't know. It's possible that one of their hundreds of indiscriminately fired missiles might land there. Iirc the sole casualty of one of their major attacks was a gazan in the West Bank.
You’re right. IRAN is the security threat in the area. Not the one committing a genocide and bombing Lebanon and Qatar (a US ally nonetheless) in addition to a continued illegal expansion in the West Bank.
Is it your position that, since the Islamist government of Iran is the enemy of Israel, we can be certain it is good in both its foreign and domestic policies?
Iran inflicted hezbolla on Lebanon, Assad on syria, persecutes their own ethnic minorities and has attacked saudi arabia, qatar and Israel. If they haven't outright stolen land that's only because they are 70 times the size of Israel.
At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered ambitions and ego.
Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing.