The answers is: likely yes, but the solution is to become the market leader now and pay the fines later. This buisness strategy has worked out very well for the magnificent 7.
Comparing the two, Europe is in a pretty good place right now thanks to its regulations. I'm glad it isn't as "far" and there are still some vestiges of treating people as humans.
Meanwhile thousands of Americans don't have access to lead free running water, your public transportation system is about as good as ours from 150 years ago, parents have to be back in the office instantly after having a baby, if you don't have insurance a cancer will bankrupt you, your average lifespan is going down, &c.
Keep your llms and iphones, we're more than fine on our side lmao
* Our satellites are giving us by far the best understanding of our universe, capturing one third of the visible sky in incredible detail - just check out this mission update video if you want your mind blown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXCBFlIpvfQ
* Not only that, the Copernicus mission is the world's leading source for open data geoobservation: https://dataspace.copernicus.eu/
* We've given the world mRNA vaccines to solve the Covid crisis and GLP-1 antagonists to solve the obesity crisis.
* CERN and is figuring out questions about the fundamental nature of the universe, with the LHC being by far the largest particle accelerator in the world, an engineering precision feat that couldn't have been accomplished anywhere else.
Innovation isn't just about the latest tech fad. It's about fundamental research on how our universe works. Everyone else is downstream of us.
He's not wrong though. A Europe that has to be responsible for its own defense either has to substantially reform its economy and society, or rely on France with its ASMPA doing the geopolitical equivalent of a drunk guy waving a knife around saying "stay away!".
He's not right either because he makes large vague claims. If we want to discuss it on clear subjects.
The "free" Europe has, and always will, thank the US for their help during WW2.
The US didn't protect us until now, because there was nothing they had to protect us from. US pulled it's allied NATO members into war in Iraq, if we're tallying things up.
With the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, both the EU and the US came to aid because a sovereign, close to EU, nation is invaded. No one was forced to do so. It's a matter of adhering to principles, that in theory are, shared by the "western" countries.
Realistically the US would have to jump to our aid if Russia's attempts outreach their Ukraine war. But that is because that's part of the deal we all made when becoming members of NATO.
And in terms of "subsidizing". That's the most outlandish claim, the US military industrial complex is so large for a reason. It's due to benefitting directly from the international government contracts, the technology it's building and selling (let's leave aside the shady and corrupt aspects of it for this topic)
The small amount of investment spent on military by European NATO members is a fair claim, but let's not kid ourselves, the grander scope of such spending will, and is going, towards US military tech. In a sense having higher spending is all about pushing more money to the US.
And if the US doesn't jump to your aid? If in 2028 Trump goes "you guys had six years to prepare and pissed it away, why should we bail you out?" what can Europe do? They could certainly try putting together a multinational European army and taking it into combat but I doubt there is much political will for that in France or Britain, who crucially possess a lot of the air and seapower.
Even without NATO, the EU countries already have a defensive pact.
Which as a sidenote is why the dismantlement of EU looks like appealing proposition to both Russia, and the US (for different reasons).
The US would make such a war easier, and fewer lives would be lost, given it's tech, and intelligence network. With or without the US, Russia would lose such a war.
Only way nukes play into it is if a shithead like Putin says "fuck it", seals himself in the bunker and hits the nukes. But then we are all cooked, whichever country does that, since mutual assured destruction comes into play.
In terms of political and societal effects, really interesting question worth pondering about. How would the other NATO member countries retaliate if the US wouldn't join in defense. That would be a big betrayal, so I hope that at the very least all US assets are seized, and US companies nationalized across the EU.
That is X propaganda. The U.S. actively prohibits additional EU states getting nuclear weapons and does not really want a super strong EU. The U.S. profits from the military strength and "protection" with an overvalued dollar and people irrationally buying U.S. bonds.
The EU spends at least three times as much on defense as Russia. But hey, perhaps it should spend EUR 1 trillion and get active in the Middle East again, after the U.S. has kicked it out in the Suez crisis.
Doesn't matter. Rich enough to afford most products, as pretty much the only market other than the US. And more people. Biggest addressable market for most things.
And yet Apple, Microsoft and Netflix make significantly more revenue from the US than the EU. It's almost as if the EU is not actually a bigger market.
The definition of AI is a lot broader than LLMs, and probably a lot broader than machine learning. From Recital 12
> The techniques that enable inference while building an AI system include machine learning approaches that learn from data how to achieve certain objectives, and logic- and knowledge-based approaches that infer from encoded knowledge or symbolic representation of the task to be solved.
That is just a snippe t and I do not know how to interpret it as a whole but it sound as though it atleast extends to expert systems and genetic algorithms? Prolog maybe?
The EU represents about 24% of the global Saas market for example. (95 billion in 2024 / global SaaS market in 2025 is ~ $408 billion). For comparison, North America leads globally at around 43-50% market share)
Yeah, which is why the EU has a much larger GDP. Global companies make significantly more revenue in the EU than in the US. And of course the EU economy is growing much faster than the US and doesn’t face any demographic headwinds.
You can only sell so many iPhones in the US until the market is completely saturated. A market of twice as many people that can afford them sure is tempting.
maybe it’d be cool if this EU market with all these people can find a few smart ones to gang up together and form a company that serves EU people and complies with whatever EU dreams up on any given day - boom - problem solved :)
It's quite amazing how arrogant Americans are despite being a thing for like 10 generations, and how brainwashed they are into believing regulations are bad, to the point of being borderline enraged by the fact that the EU exists. You might want to open a few history books, or books in general, and look up the history of your all American inventions
cool mate, you should then enjoy your inventions and ingenuity from Greek Gods and stuff and maybe read a book or two on AI by Plato :-) Too funny (and I am European)
What about all the AI meeting recording bots that are constantly joining meetings (sometimes even privileged communications in legal matters) or those where two party consent isn’t given? It seems like just nobody cares that this is an issue and it’s becoming acceptable to just violate confidentiality, privilege, and recording laws because “convenience.”
Generally, they're on the lines of "regulations hurt my capacity to make unlimited money at whomever's in my way's expense.", except with less candidness.
