> but eventually VCs will realize that they're getting bad returns from their investments
I'm not saying that they are necessarily bad returns. It's just that for many reasons there is a strong opportunity for a disconnect between viable business models and seed-investments. E.g. exit event horizons are currently so long[0] that it becomes hard to correlate exit success to seed-funding (for better or worse).
> If you think that's the path to good long-term ROI, I have a startup to sell you.
Oh, I don't disagree with you. But from the actions of YCombinator it seem like either:
- They don't see this as a risk to their long-term ROI (due to some factors we are not seeing here)
- They don't have proper means of self-assessing their selection quality and think they are scaling well while they don't
- The situation is not as bad as the article and some of the comments here make it look like, and everything is fine with YC
I'm not saying that they are necessarily bad returns. It's just that for many reasons there is a strong opportunity for a disconnect between viable business models and seed-investments. E.g. exit event horizons are currently so long[0] that it becomes hard to correlate exit success to seed-funding (for better or worse).
> If you think that's the path to good long-term ROI, I have a startup to sell you.
Oh, I don't disagree with you. But from the actions of YCombinator it seem like either:
- They don't see this as a risk to their long-term ROI (due to some factors we are not seeing here)
- They don't have proper means of self-assessing their selection quality and think they are scaling well while they don't
- The situation is not as bad as the article and some of the comments here make it look like, and everything is fine with YC
[0]: https://www.ycombinator.com/topcompanies/ <- There are many 10+ year old companies on that list without an exit and YCombinator isn't even 20 years old yet