The morphic resonance guys claim this is proof. And I for one do find it a little unbelievable that these seeds are travelling the world, such that for any cubic foot of air you find a seed. Show me the math on that.

Anyone who's ever had seasonal allergies will quickly and fully understand the implications. And allergens are absolutely enormous. Heck, there's a species of plankton that float through the air, with on average 1 million cells per cubic meter.

I did not know that

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aeroplankton

The fact that they can make the metastable crystals when they isolate them suggests that contamination is more likely than morphic resonance (which doesn't have any solid evidence going for it). I don't know if the theory behind morphic resonance suggests the mechanism, but if so, would that mechanism be blocked in a similar fashion?

This makes it more believable not less. History is littered with nut jobs achieving. The wilder the story the more credibility I give it. Within bounds. Universe is optimised for entertainment and irony

History is littered even more by several orders of magnitudes with nut jobs achieving precisely zilch. If someone seems like a nut job, it's probably because they're actually a nut job, not some misunderstood genius.

Can you give an example? I'm struggling to think of historical comparisons. I suppose I can think of a couple of "unlikely" achievers:

- Ramanujan: if he lived today, I could imagine him tweeting some awesome infinite series, which could be verified easily by other mathematicians.

- ...maybe Tesla? But he had a solid track record of invention before becoming a nut job.

But who else?

Not that I agree with GP, but:

Isaac Newton? Brian Josephson, certainly. Francis Crick. Werner Forssmann. Marie and Pierre Curie, the way they kept on working even when dying from radiation poisoning. Tycho Brahe (with the partying and the drunken pet elk). Pythagoras. Probably Paul Erdosz? And a good number of the people working on energetic materials research.

In what sense were any of them nut jobs? All of these were traditionally pedigreed scientists, doing groundbreaking research at their institutions, under their own names. I'm asking for a historical parallel of a researcher who published an earth-shattering result anonymously, from their home lab, in a field unrelated to their day job, on a random night off chilling and watching movies?

Ah, sorry for misunderstanding. I was thinking of traditional scientists who turned out to be partially crazy. The context here should have made me catch your logic better.

That's pretty untrue. Its just that nobody remembers the crackpots that achieve nothing.

GPT4 just wrote a python script for me that downloaded a star catalogue, created a fish eye camera model, and then calculated the position of the camera relative to the stars by back propagating the camera position and camera parameters to match the star positions.

All I did was hold it's hand, it wrote every line of code. You are living in fantasy land if you think we will be writing lines of code in 10 years.

> You are living in fantasy land if you think we will be writing lines of code in 10 years.

I was with you until that sentence. No, LLMs will not write all our code and the reason is very simple: coding is easier than reviewing code. Not to mention the additional complexities and weirdness that we've always dealt with without even thinking about it.

We can see in Photoshop what's coming for developers: context-sensitive AI autocompletion and gap filling. Copilot but more mature and integrated, perhaps with additional checks that prevent some bugs being inserted. And troubleshooting, the area where I think we can profit the most.

that's all stuff that would be impressive for a single human to be able to produce instantly (because nobody remembers all these APIs), but that's still formulaic enough that it's not hard to imagine why ChatGPT succeeds at it

but will ChatGPT help you debug and fix a production issue that came about due to a Kafka misconfiguration? will it be able to find the deadlock in your code that is causing requests to be dropped? will it suggest a path forward when you need to replace an obscure library that hasn't been updated in 5 years? will it be able to make sense of seemingly contradictory business requirements?

That's not exactly the complexity of typical software that must solve an actual, difficult, business problem.

Wake me up when ChatGPT is able to write and maintain a POS system, or an online store with attached fulfillment management. Anything that goes beyond a fancy 100-line script. Anything that people actually hire teams of senior devs, business analysts and software architects for.

Do you know if it works?

Lets see it and lets see the prompts you used.

At one stage of my life I was running 10k every other day for months at a time. I was miserable. Also irritable.

Maybe not getting enough rest might have offset the positive factors?

same here

Exercise makes me irritable and miserable. I've tried large amounts and medium amounts, obvs small amounts are included in daily life. My kids are similarly effected. One size does not fit all.

SpaceX regularly lands rockets vertically on floating barges in the middle of the ocean. Tesla broke open and is dominating the electric car market. What on earth are you talking about.

I learned the same a few years ago. I have voluntary control of the lower sphincter and clamp down on it when I feel my stomach contents rising or am getting heart burn. Now that I use it more I can mostly control my heartburn.

Don't bother arguing with them, they obviously are not rational enough to see what is in front of their face. Most people are like this, although they will die saying otherwise.

Not rational to think 1 person dying is preferable to 5 people dying? In what world is that no the better scenario?

The reason only 1 person died in the scenario is because almost everyone was to afraid to walk because it is so dangerous.

It’s not hard to understand.