> "The distrust of the political system is unhealthy," he says.
Tell that to the dead souls of the Jewish, Russian/kulak, Native American, Cambodian, Central American and hundreds of other communities that were beneficiaries of these State-centered political systems that Sunde supports.
Trusting politicians and political systems is unhealthy. Healthy behavior is antithetical to politics.
How does the US govt. deploy force against decentralized crypto? It can go after the exchanges and clamp down on bank-to-Bitcoin services but it can do nothing against the network itself. Should the USG clamp down on Bitcoin too hard, Bitcoin will thrive in those places that are harder for the regulatory agencies to reach.
ATM, 1 bitcoin is worth ~350 times more than one Federal Reserve Note, making Bitcoin the most valuable currency in the world. I expect demand for Bitcoin will only rise elsewhere in the world even if the USG tries to make it difficult for its own citizens to use.
> "ATM, 1 bitcoin is worth ~350 times more than one Federal Reserve Note, making Bitcoin the most valuable currency in the world.
The value of the M1 money supply (all the cash) of USD is $2.5 trillion. The value of the BTC money supply in USD is $[handful] billion. Calling BTC more valuable because it happens to be denominated in a large chunk is missing the point.
And as more dollars come into existence, they'll continue to be worth less in comparison to Bitcoin's fixed supply.
Also, the accumulated transactional value of Bitcoin is increasing. All of the fees and other costs associated with moving money are being lost by banks and other agencies.
I argued that the US govt. can deploy its force to protect the dollar (as has done in the past even to the point of going to war) and the assurance of such a powerful guardian undergirds the trust in US dollar. Other have already answered as to how it can deploy force against Bitcoin (although not part of my argument). Governments can also act in concert. Invoking images of pedophiles or drug dealers using BTC would be more than enough to secure public support for such measures as blocking BTC port numbers, Deep Packet Inspection for BTC protocol content and ensuring that no legitimate retailer wants to be seen associating its name with the "pedophiles currency".
People always propose ridiculously convoluted solutions to simple problems.
Step 1: make Bitcoin exchanges illegal to operate.
There is no Step 2.
All the supposed uncensorability of BitCoin doesn't matter once you do that, because no one conducting legal business activities is going to bother with it after that. Al Capone was arrested for tax fraud.
Then the yuan exchanges will pick up the slack. I'd dump my dollars for yuan and btc, as would other people. The USG would be slitting its own throat if it made btc > $ exchanges outright illegal.
Because the wildly libertarian China that has state firewall and can cut off the access to the block chain completely will just fall in love with something that could for any reason diminish its ability to have iron grip control over its economy and currency.
If Bitcoin is going to be not fringe it will need wide state support of at least 51% of the world GDP. There is not a single economic bloc that could endorse the loss of the ability to manipulate its own currency.
It is an awesome real time payment system, but crappy as a currency.
China likes Bitcoin because the USG doesn't. As long as that dynamic holds, Bitcoin is safe in China.
Unlike the US, a hundred million+ internet users in China are already accustomed to digital money through the use of the now defunct Q coin.
It makes no difference to me if Bitcoin stays fringe or goes mainstream. It's value will continue to increase as long as it finds uses all over the globe, with or without the blessing of the USG.
If miners are ever prosecuted, then that is a pretty big signal that the U.S. has completely lost its shit. Submitting the outputs of hash functions to a distribitued p2p network sounds like extremely basic free speech to me.
As a young person with no wife/kids and plenty of tech job prospects, I would probably start researching moving abroad.
http://peculium.net/2013/04/08/bitcoin-is-a-bubble-only-if-y...
Straight up is also a curve.